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    AIReF English

    “Our mission is to guarantee effective compliance of the financial sustainability principle by the General Goverment”

    AIReF publishes the second quarter estimate of the composition of national GDP by Autonomous Regions

    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) published today the estimate of the GDP of the Autonomous Regions for the second quarter of 2023 using the methodology known as METCAP (Methodology for Quarterly Estimates of GDP by Autonomous Region), created by the Institution. METCAP provides the first open-access estimate in Spain that offers these data ... Read more

    AIReF publishes the studies of the third phase of the Spending Review 2018-2021

    Carpetas de AIReF
    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) has published today on its website two studies on 'Municipal Waste Management' and on 'Public Sector Financial Instruments to Support Productive Sectors of the Spanish Economy', which are part of phase III of the Spending Review 2018-2021 committed with the European Commission. The publication of both studies is ... Read more

    AIReF warns of a 9% expansion of expenditure in large Local Governments

    Sede de AIReF
    Including the positive impact of the 2020 settlement compensation, the surplus forecast is 3% of its revenues.   In its report of 6 July AIReF recommended the Local Governments (LGs) to avoid increases in expenditure or reductions in revenue that do not have permanent financing, a recommendation that is still valid today.   Of the ... Read more

    AIReF improves its GDP growth forecast to 2.3% by 2023 and maintains the deficit at 4.1% of GDP

    Carpetas de AIReF
    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) improves the GDP forecast based on the new estimates from INE's Quarterly Accounts It estimates CPI growth of 3.7% in 2023, somewhat lower than projected in the spring, while the GDP deflator is expected to grow by 4.8% The extension of the measures implies an increase in the ... Read more

    AIReF forecasts that the Autonomous Regions will close 2023 with a deficit of 0.4% of GDP

    Informe Ejecución 2023
    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) published today on its website the Report on Budget Execution, Public Debt, and the Expenditure Rule for 2023 and the individual reports of the Autonomous Regions (ARs). In the general report, AIReF raises the sub-sector deficit for 2023 by one tenth of a percentage point to 0.4% of ... Read more

    AIReF holds a workshop with the main research services to address the challenges of economic forecasting

    Workshop AIReF servicios de estudio
    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) held today a workshop with the country's main research services to address the challenges of economic forecasting in Spain. The president of AIReF, Cristina Herrero, who opened the session, pledged to repeat the workshop every year so that it becomes a meeting point for generating debate and enriching ... Read more

    Cristina Herrero: “Independent scrutiny of public finances is essential in modernising fiscal frameworks and contributes to improving institutional and democratic quality”

    The characteristics of the new fiscal framework make it advisable to take advantage of the potential of institutions such as AIReF, which have the capacity for independent analysis Cristina Herrero stated that any reform of AIReF must reinforce its functional autonomy and safeguard its independence She pointed out that independent scrutiny of public finances contributes ... Read more

    Cristina Herrero: “AIReF wants to go deeper into the analysis of the adequacy and fairness of the pension system”

    Cristina Herrero Fundación Mapfre
    The president of the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF), Cristina Herrero, today opened the 2023 Academic Seminar on Pension Systems and Intergenerational Solidarity Mechanisms organised by the Ageingnomics Research Centre of the Mapfre Foundation and the Carlos III University of Madrid. During his speech he pointed out that AIReF seeks to deepen its knowledge ... Read more

    AIReF’s Advisory Board meets to analyse the Institution’s main actions in 2023

    Consejo Asesor 20230619
    The Advisory Board of the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) met this Monday to analyse the main activities carried out by the Institution in the first six months of 2023. This is the first meeting to be held since last March when the nine members who have been on the Board since March 2021 ... Read more

    AIReF reports little progress in the development of the Minimum Income Scheme

    The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) reports that the number of beneficiaries of the Minimum Income Scheme (MIS) remains at 284,000 households, 35% of the 800,000 households that could receive it In 2022 nearly 470,000 eligible households, 58% of the total, did not apply for the MIS, and 69% of applications were denied 9 ... Read more